Jack Marshman vs Karl Roberson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-10-0Record9-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
TBDReach74"
185 lbsWeight184 lbs
Tillery Combat MMA AcademyTeamKiller B Combat Sports Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1632
If they lose-12→ 1608
If they win+17→ 1624
If they lose-15→ 1592
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1643 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1670 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jack MarshmanKarl Roberson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jack Marshman and Karl Roberson within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1607), separated by just 13 points.
Jack Marshman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Karl Roberson enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Jack Marshman finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Karl Roberson 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.