Jack Marshman vs Magnus Cedenblad
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-10-0Record14-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'3"
TBDReach79,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Tillery Combat MMA AcademyTeamAllstars Training Center
What's at stake
Magnus Cedenblad is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Jack Marshman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1633
If they lose-11→ 1609
If they win+14→ 1668
If they lose-18→ 1636
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1643 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jack MarshmanMagnus Cedenblad
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Magnus Cedenblad58%
Jack Marshman 42%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Magnus Cedenblad a 58% favorite over Jack Marshman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Magnus Cedenblad holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1654 to 1620, a 34-point edge.
Jack Marshman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jack Marshman finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Magnus Cedenblad 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.