Jack McCloughlin vs Marcus Kowal
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-1-0Record5-1-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
TBDHeight5'7"
-ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Atherton Submission WrestlingTeamWerdum Combat Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1584
If they lose-24→ 1536
If they win+24→ 1582
If they lose-24→ 1534
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1507 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1482 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jack McCloughlinMarcus Kowal
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jack McCloughlin56%
Marcus Kowal 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jack McCloughlin a 56% favorite over Marcus Kowal in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1560 vs 1558), separated by just 2 points.
Jack McCloughlin enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Marcus Kowal enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jack McCloughlin finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Marcus Kowal 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.