Jack McCloughlin vs Randy Costa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-1-0Record8-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
TBDHeight5'10"
-Reach73"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Atherton Submission WrestlingTeamLauzon MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1584
If they lose-24→ 1536
If they win+16→ 1577
If they lose-16→ 1545
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1507 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jack McCloughlinRandy Costa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jack McCloughlin60%
Randy Costa 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jack McCloughlin a 60% favorite over Randy Costa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Randy Costa's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1560 vs 1561), separated by just 1 points.
Jack McCloughlin enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jack McCloughlin finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Randy Costa 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.