Jack Morrison vs Joe Schilling
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-3-0Record4-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'3"
TBDReach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Bullet NHB Fight TeamTeamThe Yard Muay Thai
What's at stake
Joe Schilling is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Jack Morrison carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1456
If they lose-22→ 1408
If they win+22→ 1484
If they lose-26→ 1436
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1505 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jack MorrisonJoe Schilling
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Schilling72%
Jack Morrison 28%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Schilling a 72% favorite over Jack Morrison in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Joe Schilling holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1462 to 1430, a 32-point edge.
Jack Morrison enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Joe Schilling enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joe Schilling 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.