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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jack Morrison vs Leonardo Guimaraes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

0-3-0Record15-14-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'0"
TBDReach73"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Bullet NHB Fight TeamTeamTata Fight Team· 1521 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jack MorrisonNow 1430
If they win+24→ 1454
If they lose-24→ 1406
Leonardo GuimaraesNow 1423
If they win+16→ 1439
If they lose-16→ 1407

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Jack MorrisonLeonardo Guimaraes
140014502007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
4 (27%)
0 (0%)
Submission
8 (53%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Jack Morrison55%
Leonardo Guimaraes 45%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Jack Morrison a 55% favorite over Leonardo Guimaraes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1430 vs 1423), separated by just 7 points.

Jack Morrison enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Leonardo Guimaraes 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.