Jack Morrison vs Leonardo Guimaraes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-3-0Record15-14-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'0"
TBDReach73"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Bullet NHB Fight TeamTeamTata Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1454
If they lose-24→ 1406
If they win+16→ 1448
If they lose-16→ 1416
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1505 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jack MorrisonLeonardo Guimaraes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Leonardo Guimaraes55%
Jack Morrison 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Leonardo Guimaraes a 55% favorite over Jack Morrison in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1430 vs 1432), separated by just 2 points.
Jack Morrison enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Leonardo Guimaraes 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.