Jackson Ross vs Tim Catalfo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-1-0Record4-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height5'11"
-ReachTBD
245 lbsWeight231 lbs
Scorpion Fighting System· 1551 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamTeam Obake
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1559
If they lose-24→ 1511
If they win+24→ 1559
If they lose-24→ 1511
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1476 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1580 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jackson RossTim Catalfo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jackson Ross53%
Tim Catalfo 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jackson Ross a 53% favorite over Tim Catalfo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1535 vs 1535), separated by just 0 points.
Tim Catalfo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jackson Ross finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Tim Catalfo 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.