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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jackson Soares vs Joe Moreira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joe Moreira
br

Joe Moreira

“Macaco”

2-2-0Light Heavyweight

1494Average

Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record2-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jackson SoaresNow 1500
If they win+24→ 1524
If they lose-24→ 1476
Joe MoreiraNow 1494
If they win+24→ 1518
If they lose-24→ 1470

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1509 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1478 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Jackson SoaresJoe Moreira
1500200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (80%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (50%)
1 (20%)
Decision
1 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Jackson Soares57%
Joe Moreira 43%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Jackson Soares a 57% favorite over Joe Moreira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1500 vs 1494), separated by just 6 points.

Jackson Soares enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jackson Soares finishes 80% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.