Jackson Soares vs Nicollas Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-2-0Record4-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight206 lbs
What's at stake
Nicollas Santos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +17 while a loss costs more — Jackson Soares carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+31→ 1531
If they lose-17→ 1483
If they win+17→ 1617
If they lose-31→ 1569
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1509 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jackson SoaresNicollas Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nicollas Santos66%
Jackson Soares 34%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Nicollas Santos a 66% favorite over Jackson Soares in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Nicollas Santos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1600 to 1500, a 100-point edge.
Jackson Soares enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Nicollas Santos enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Jackson Soares finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Nicollas Santos 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.