Jacob Malkoun vs Phil Hawes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-3-0Record12-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height5'11"
73"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
PMA Super Martial ArtsTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Jacob Malkoun is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Phil Hawes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1703
If they lose-19→ 1671
If they win+19→ 1642
If they lose-13→ 1610
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1647 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jacob MalkounPhil Hawes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jacob Malkoun78%
Phil Hawes 22%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Jacob Malkoun a 78% favorite over Phil Hawes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Jacob Malkoun holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1690 to 1623, a 67-point edge.
Jacob Malkoun enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Phil Hawes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jacob Malkoun finishes 30% of wins inside the distance, Phil Hawes 83%.
Phil Hawes carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.