Combat Edge Intelligence

Jacob Pais vs Matteo Martignoni

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jacob Pais
us

Jacob Pais

“El Tortuga”

1-1-0FeatherweightPFL

1503Average

Tale of the tape

1-1-0Record3-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'11"
73"Reach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jacob PaisNow 1503
If they win+25→ 1528
If they lose-23→ 1480
Matteo MartignoniNow 1512
If they win+23→ 1535
If they lose-25→ 1487

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jacob PaisMatteo Martignoni
15001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (100%)
KO/TKO
2 (67%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jacob Pais and Matteo Martignoni within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1503 vs 1512), separated by just 9 points.

Matteo Martignoni 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.