Jacob Pais vs Toby Misech
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-0-0Record12-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'8"
73"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
KAMICUOZZI MMA & FITNESSTeamJesus Is Lord
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1553
If they lose-24→ 1505
If they win+16→ 1547
If they lose-16→ 1515
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jacob PaisToby Misech
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jacob Pais70%
Toby Misech 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jacob Pais a 70% favorite over Toby Misech in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Toby Misech's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1529 vs 1531), separated by just 2 points.
Toby Misech enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Toby Misech 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.