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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jacob Rosales vs Michael Boylan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

16-10-0Record6-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'0"
74,0"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
CSW· 1624 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamDes Moines MMA Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jacob RosalesNow 1583
If they win+12→ 1595
If they lose-12→ 1571
Michael BoylanNow 1582
If they win+24→ 1606
If they lose-24→ 1558

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

7.19
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
47%
Strike accuracy
Not available
10.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
44%
Strike defense
Not available
1.12
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
50%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.56
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Jacob RosalesMichael Boylan
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (41%)
KO/TKO
4 (67%)
4 (24%)
Submission
2 (33%)
6 (35%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Jacob Rosales60%
Michael Boylan 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jacob Rosales a 60% favorite over Michael Boylan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1583 vs 1582), separated by just 1 points.

Michael Boylan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jacob Rosales finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Michael Boylan 100%.

Jacob Rosales carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.