Combat Edge Intelligence

Jacob Rosales vs Trever Devestern

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-9-0Record4-1-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
74,0"Reach-
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
CSWTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jacob RosalesNow 1576
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560
Trever DevesternNow 1574
If they win+24→ 1598
If they lose-24→ 1550

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.19
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
47%
Strike accuracy
TBD
10.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
44%
Strike defense
TBD
1.12
Takedown avg.
TBD
18%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.56
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jacob RosalesTrever Devestern
15001550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (13%)
Submission
1 (25%)
6 (40%)
Decision
3 (75%)

Combat Edge model read

Trever Devestern78%
Jacob Rosales 22%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Trever Devestern a 78% favorite over Jacob Rosales in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jacob Rosales's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1576 vs 1574), separated by just 2 points.

Trever Devestern enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Jacob Rosales finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Trever Devestern 25%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.