AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Jacob Silva vs Rafael Dias

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Jacob Silva
us

Jacob Silva

“Lil' Animal”

11-10-0FlyweightFFC

1533Average

Tale of the tape

11-10-0Record20-9-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'4"
TBDReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Metro Fight Club· 1598 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamSD Training System

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jacob SilvaNow 1533
If they win+16→ 1549
If they lose-16→ 1517
Rafael DiasNow 1537
If they win+12→ 1549
If they lose-12→ 1525

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1528 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.17
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
45%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.92
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
57%
Strike defense
Not available
1.51
Takedown avg.
Not available
100%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
67%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Jacob SilvaRafael Dias
15001550202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (55%)
KO/TKO
4 (20%)
4 (36%)
Submission
4 (20%)
1 (9%)
Decision
12 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Jacob Silva55%
Rafael Dias 45%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Jacob Silva a 55% favorite over Rafael Dias in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rafael Dias's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1533 vs 1537), separated by just 4 points.

Jacob Silva finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Rafael Dias 40%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.