Jacob Volkmann vs Paul Sass
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-7-0Record14-2-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Minnesota Martial Arts AcademyTeamTeam Kaobon
What's at stake
Paul Sass is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Jacob Volkmann carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1644
If they lose-10→ 1620
If they win+14→ 1696
If they lose-18→ 1664
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1624 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jacob VolkmannPaul Sass
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Paul Sass70%
Jacob Volkmann 30%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Paul Sass a 70% favorite over Jacob Volkmann in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Paul Sass holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1682 to 1630, a 52-point edge.
Jacob Volkmann finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Paul Sass 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.