Jacob Volkmann vs Paulo Thiago
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-7-0Record19-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Minnesota Martial Arts AcademyTeamX-Gym
What's at stake
Jacob Volkmann is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Paulo Thiago carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1641
If they lose-13→ 1617
If they win+13→ 1608
If they lose-11→ 1584
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1624 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jacob VolkmannPaulo Thiago
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jacob Volkmann67%
Paulo Thiago 33%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Jacob Volkmann a 67% favorite over Paulo Thiago in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Jacob Volkmann holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1630 to 1595, a 35-point edge.
Jacob Volkmann finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Paulo Thiago 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.