Combat Edge Intelligence

Jacob Volkmann vs Shane Roller

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jacob Volkmann
us

Jacob Volkmann

“Christmas”

19-7-0WelterweightThe Academy MN

1630Solid

Tale of the tape

19-7-0Record11-7-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Minnesota Martial Arts AcademyTeamTeam Takedown

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jacob VolkmannNow 1630
If they win+12→ 1642
If they lose-12→ 1618
Shane RollerNow 1636
If they win+16→ 1652
If they lose-16→ 1620

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1624 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.19
Sig. strikes / min
2.04
34%
Strike accuracy
34%
1.78
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.65
53%
Strike defense
60%
3.19
Takedown avg.
2.46
49%
Takedown accuracy
34%
53%
Takedown defense
42%
1.99
Submission avg.
1.92

Trajectory

Jacob VolkmannShane Roller
160016502010201120122013201420152016

Win method breakdown

3 (16%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
6 (32%)
Submission
6 (55%)
10 (53%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Shane Roller53%
Jacob Volkmann 47%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Shane Roller a 53% favorite over Jacob Volkmann in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1636), separated by just 6 points.

Shane Roller enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jacob Volkmann finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Shane Roller 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.