Combat Edge Intelligence

Jade Masson-Wong vs Rachael Ostovich

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-3-0Record4-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'3"
63"Reach38,5"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Nova Gym Centre Fitness MMATeamJesus Is Lord

What's at stake

Jade Masson-Wong is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Rachael Ostovich carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jade Masson-WongNow 1498
If they win+21→ 1519
If they lose-27→ 1471
Rachael OstovichNow 1456
If they win+18→ 1474
If they lose-14→ 1442

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1532 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.54
TBD
Strike accuracy
43%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.97
TBD
Strike defense
58%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.03
TBD
Takedown accuracy
83%
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.81

Trajectory

Jade Masson-WongRachael Ostovich
14501500201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (50%)
2 (67%)
Decision
2 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Jade Masson-Wong70%
Rachael Ostovich 30%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Jade Masson-Wong a 70% favorite over Rachael Ostovich in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Jade Masson-Wong holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1498 to 1456, a 42-point edge.

Jade Masson-Wong enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Rachael Ostovich enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jade Masson-Wong finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Rachael Ostovich 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.