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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jafel Filho vs Magomed Magomedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

17-5-0Record22-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'7"
68"Reach70"
125 lbsWeight137 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamDagFighter· 1716 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jafel FilhoNow 1670
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654
Magomed MagomedovNow 1670
If they win+12→ 1682
If they lose-12→ 1658

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1615 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1728 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.85
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
42%
Strike accuracy
Not available
1.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
50%
Strike defense
Not available
2.52
Takedown avg.
Not available
45%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
67%
Takedown defense
Not available
2.24
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Jafel FilhoMagomed Magomedov
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (29%)
KO/TKO
4 (18%)
11 (65%)
Submission
10 (45%)
1 (6%)
Decision
8 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Magomed Magomedov65%
Jafel Filho 35%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Magomedov a 65% favorite over Jafel Filho in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jafel Filho's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1670 vs 1670), separated by just 0 points.

Jafel Filho finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Magomedov 64%.

Magomed Magomedov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.