Jafel Filho vs Ode Osbourne
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-5-0Record13-9-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'7"
68"Reach73"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamWaukesha MMA
What's at stake
Jafel Filho is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Ode Osbourne carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1681
If they lose-20→ 1649
If they win+20→ 1611
If they lose-12→ 1579
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1614 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1664 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jafel FilhoOde Osbourne
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jafel Filho70%
Ode Osbourne 30%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Jafel Filho a 70% favorite over Ode Osbourne in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Jafel Filho holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1669 to 1591, a 78-point edge.
Ode Osbourne enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jafel Filho finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Ode Osbourne 77%.
Ode Osbourne carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.