Jailton Almeida vs Josh Barnett
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-5-0Record35-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
79"Reach78,0"
241 lbsWeight248 lbs
Galpao da LutaTeamUWF USA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1787
If they lose-16→ 1755
If they win+12→ 1789
If they lose-12→ 1765
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1717 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jailton AlmeidaJosh Barnett
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jailton Almeida66%
Josh Barnett 34%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Jailton Almeida a 66% favorite over Josh Barnett in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Josh Barnett's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1771 vs 1777), separated by just 6 points.
Jailton Almeida enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jailton Almeida finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Josh Barnett 85%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.