Combat Edge Intelligence

Jailton Almeida vs Rizvan Kuniev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-5-0Record14-3-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
79"Reach76"
241 lbsWeight250 lbs
Galpao da Luta· 1695 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamGorets Fight Club· 1716 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

Jailton Almeida is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Rizvan Kuniev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jailton AlmeidaNow 1771
If they win+14→ 1785
If they lose-18→ 1753
Rizvan KunievNow 1727
If they win+18→ 1745
If they lose-14→ 1713

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1717 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1625 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.23
Sig. strikes / min
4.32
63%
Strike accuracy
55%
1.30
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.22
43%
Strike defense
49%
5.64
Takedown avg.
0.79
3%
Takedown accuracy
0%
60%
Takedown defense
94%
1.68
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jailton AlmeidaRizvan Kuniev
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (36%)
KO/TKO
7 (54%)
13 (59%)
Submission
2 (15%)
1 (5%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jailton Almeida and Rizvan Kuniev within a point of even.

Jailton Almeida holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1771 to 1727, a 44-point edge.

Jailton Almeida enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Rizvan Kuniev enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jailton Almeida finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Rizvan Kuniev 69%.

Jailton Almeida and Rizvan Kuniev share 1 common opponent: Curtis Blaydes.

Jailton Almeida carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossKO/TKO · 2024
Curtis Blaydes
LossDecision (split) · 2025