Jailton Almeida vs Serghei Spivac
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-6-0Record18-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
79"Reach 78"
241 lbsWeight256 lbs
Galpao da Luta· 1679 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamPolar Bear Team
What's at stake
Jailton Almeida is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Serghei Spivac carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1765
If they lose-14→ 1741
If they win+18→ 1727
If they lose-14→ 1695
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1734 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1725 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jailton AlmeidaSerghei Spivac
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jailton Almeida55%
Serghei Spivac 45%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Jailton Almeida a 55% favorite over Serghei Spivac in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Jailton Almeida holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1755 to 1709, a 46-point edge.
Jailton Almeida enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jailton Almeida finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Serghei Spivac 83%.
Jailton Almeida and Serghei Spivac share 1 common opponent: Derrick Lewis.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.