Jailton Almeida vs Serghei Spivac
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
22-5-0Record18-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
79"Reach 78"
241 lbsWeight256 lbs
Galpao da LutaTeamPolar Bear Team
What's at stake
Jailton Almeida is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Serghei Spivac carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1785
If they lose-18→ 1753
If they win+18→ 1741
If they lose-14→ 1709
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1717 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1724 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jailton AlmeidaSerghei Spivac
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jailton Almeida59%
Serghei Spivac 41%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Jailton Almeida a 59% favorite over Serghei Spivac in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Jailton Almeida holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1771 to 1723, a 48-point edge.
Jailton Almeida enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jailton Almeida finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Serghei Spivac 83%.
Jailton Almeida and Serghei Spivac share 1 common opponent: Derrick Lewis.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.