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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jailton Almeida vs Shamil Abdurakhimov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

22-6-0Record20-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
79"Reach76"
241 lbsWeight263 lbs
Galpao da Luta· 1679 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamPeresvet FT

What's at stake

Jailton Almeida is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Shamil Abdurakhimov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jailton AlmeidaNow 1755
If they win+8→ 1763
If they lose-16→ 1739
Shamil AbdurakhimovNow 1650
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-8→ 1642

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1734 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1684 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.23
Sig. strikes / min
2.41
63%
Strike accuracy
44%
1.30
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.02
43%
Strike defense
55%
5.64
Takedown avg.
1.01
3%
Takedown accuracy
23%
60%
Takedown defense
45%
1.68
Submission avg.
0.14

Trajectory

Jailton AlmeidaShamil Abdurakhimov
165017001750180020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (36%)
KO/TKO
9 (45%)
13 (59%)
Submission
4 (20%)
1 (5%)
Decision
7 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Jailton Almeida77%
Shamil Abdurakhimov 23%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Jailton Almeida a 77% favorite over Shamil Abdurakhimov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Jailton Almeida holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1755 to 1650, a 105-point edge.

Jailton Almeida enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Shamil Abdurakhimov enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Jailton Almeida finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Abdurakhimov 65%.

Jailton Almeida and Shamil Abdurakhimov share 2 common opponents: Curtis Blaydes and Derrick Lewis.

Jailton Almeida carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossKO/TKO · 2024
Curtis Blaydes
LossTKO · 2019
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2023
Derrick Lewis
LossKO/TKO · 2016