Jailton Almeida vs Shamil Abdurakhimov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-5-0Record20-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
79"Reach76"
241 lbsWeight263 lbs
Galpao da Luta· 1691 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamPeresvet FT
What's at stake
Jailton Almeida is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Shamil Abdurakhimov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1782
If they lose-21→ 1750
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-8→ 1642
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1717 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1684 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jailton AlmeidaShamil Abdurakhimov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jailton Almeida84%
Shamil Abdurakhimov 16%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Jailton Almeida a 84% favorite over Shamil Abdurakhimov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Jailton Almeida holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1771 to 1650, a 121-point edge.
Jailton Almeida enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Shamil Abdurakhimov enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Jailton Almeida finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Abdurakhimov 65%.
Jailton Almeida and Shamil Abdurakhimov share 2 common opponents: Curtis Blaydes and Derrick Lewis.
Jailton Almeida carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.