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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jailton Almeida vs Shamil Erdogan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

22-6-0Record14-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
79"Reach79"
241 lbsWeight205 lbs
Galpao da Luta· 1684 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamKrepost Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jailton AlmeidaNow 1755
If they win+12→ 1767
If they lose-12→ 1743
Shamil ErdoganNow 1750
If they win+16→ 1766
If they lose-16→ 1734

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1734 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.23
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
63%
Strike accuracy
Not available
1.30
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
43%
Strike defense
Not available
5.64
Takedown avg.
Not available
3%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
60%
Takedown defense
Not available
1.68
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Jailton AlmeidaShamil Erdogan
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (36%)
KO/TKO
8 (57%)
13 (59%)
Submission
2 (14%)
1 (5%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Shamil Erdogan55%
Jailton Almeida 45%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Shamil Erdogan a 55% favorite over Jailton Almeida in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jailton Almeida's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1755 vs 1750), separated by just 5 points.

Jailton Almeida enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Shamil Erdogan enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Jailton Almeida finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Erdogan 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.