Combat Edge Intelligence

Jailton Almeida vs Stipe Miocic

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-5-0Record20-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
79"Reach 80"
241 lbsWeight234 lbs
Galpao da LutaTeamStrong Style Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jailton AlmeidaNow 1771
If they win+16→ 1787
If they lose-16→ 1755
Stipe MiocicNow 1765
If they win+16→ 1781
If they lose-16→ 1749

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1717 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1802 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.25
Sig. strikes / min
4.67
66%
Strike accuracy
53%
1.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.01
36%
Strike defense
52%
6.66
Takedown avg.
1.74
63%
Takedown accuracy
34%
60%
Takedown defense
65%
1.98
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jailton AlmeidaStipe Miocic
17501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (36%)
KO/TKO
15 (75%)
13 (59%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (5%)
Decision
5 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Jailton Almeida72%
Stipe Miocic 28%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Jailton Almeida a 72% favorite over Stipe Miocic in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1771 vs 1765), separated by just 6 points.

Jailton Almeida enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Stipe Miocic enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jailton Almeida finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Stipe Miocic 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.