Combat Edge Intelligence

Jailton Almeida vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

22-5-0Record17-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
79"Reach78"
241 lbsWeight262 lbs
Galpao da Luta· 1695 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamUltimate Kombat Fitness

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jailton AlmeidaNow 1771
If they win+16→ 1787
If they lose-16→ 1755
Waldo Cortes-AcostaNow 1779
If they win+16→ 1795
If they lose-16→ 1763

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1717 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.23
Sig. strikes / min
5.34
63%
Strike accuracy
49%
1.30
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.63
43%
Strike defense
54%
5.64
Takedown avg.
0.40
3%
Takedown accuracy
0%
60%
Takedown defense
74%
1.68
Submission avg.
0.10

Trajectory

Jailton AlmeidaWaldo Cortes-Acosta
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (36%)
KO/TKO
9 (53%)
13 (59%)
Submission
1 (6%)
1 (5%)
Decision
7 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Waldo Cortes-Acosta63%
Jailton Almeida 37%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Waldo Cortes-Acosta a 63% favorite over Jailton Almeida in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1771 vs 1779), separated by just 8 points.

Jailton Almeida enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jailton Almeida finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Waldo Cortes-Acosta 59%.

Jailton Almeida and Waldo Cortes-Acosta share 3 common opponents: Alexander Volkov, Serghei Spivac and Derrick Lewis.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (3)

LossDecision (split) · 2025
Alexander Volkov
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2026
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2023
Derrick Lewis
WinTKO · 2026
Win TKO · 2025
Serghei Spivac
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2025