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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jair Perez vs Thiago Tavares

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jair Perez
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Jair Perez

“El Lupe”

12-3-0FeatherweightMMAM

1646Solid

Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record24-11-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'7"
-Reach68,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamTeam Tavares

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jair PerezNow 1646
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630
Thiago TavaresNow 1646
If they win+12→ 1658
If they lose-12→ 1634

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2
Not available
Strike accuracy
40%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.31
Not available
Strike defense
63%
Not available
Takedown avg.
3.83
Not available
Takedown accuracy
43%
Not available
Takedown defense
63%
Not available
Submission avg.
1.46

Trajectory

Jair PerezThiago Tavares
1600165020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (33%)
KO/TKO
4 (17%)
2 (17%)
Submission
15 (63%)
6 (50%)
Decision
5 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Jair Perez53%
Thiago Tavares 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jair Perez a 53% favorite over Thiago Tavares in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1646 vs 1646), separated by just 0 points.

Jair Perez enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Jair Perez finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Tavares 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.