Combat Edge Intelligence

Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs Junior Albini

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-6-0Record17-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
78"Reach42,0"
259 lbsWeight265 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAstra Fight Team· 1594 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

Jairzinho Rozenstruik is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Junior Albini carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jairzinho RozenstruikNow 1704
If they win+13→ 1717
If they lose-19→ 1685
Junior AlbiniNow 1641
If they win+19→ 1660
If they lose-13→ 1628

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1727 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.48
Sig. strikes / min
3.98
49%
Strike accuracy
51%
2.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.08
52%
Strike defense
52%
0
Takedown avg.
1.54
0%
Takedown accuracy
38%
72%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jairzinho RozenstruikJunior Albini
160016501700202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

13 (87%)
KO/TKO
9 (53%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (35%)
2 (13%)
Decision
2 (12%)

Combat Edge model read

Jairzinho Rozenstruik60%
Junior Albini 40%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Jairzinho Rozenstruik a 60% favorite over Junior Albini in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Jairzinho Rozenstruik holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1704 to 1641, a 63-point edge.

Junior Albini enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jairzinho Rozenstruik finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Junior Albini 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.