Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs Junior dos Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-6-0Record23-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
78"Reach77"
259 lbsWeight250 lbs
American Top TeamTeamChampion Team
What's at stake
Jairzinho Rozenstruik is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Junior dos Santos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1716
If they lose-19→ 1684
If they win+14→ 1656
If they lose-10→ 1632
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1726 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1694 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jairzinho RozenstruikJunior dos Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jairzinho Rozenstruik70%
Junior dos Santos 30%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Jairzinho Rozenstruik a 70% favorite over Junior dos Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Jairzinho Rozenstruik holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1703 to 1642, a 61-point edge.
Junior dos Santos enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Jairzinho Rozenstruik finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Junior dos Santos 74%.
Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Junior dos Santos share 3 common opponents: Tai Tuivasa, Curtis Blaydes and Ciryl Gane.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.