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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs Marcin Tybura

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-6-0Record27-12-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
78"Reach78"
259 lbsWeight247 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAnkos MMA· 1669 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jairzinho RozenstruikNow 1704
If they win+16→ 1720
If they lose-16→ 1688
Marcin TyburaNow 1707
If they win+12→ 1719
If they lose-12→ 1695

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1727 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1710 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.48
Sig. strikes / min
3.56
49%
Strike accuracy
48%
2.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.26
52%
Strike defense
55%
0
Takedown avg.
1.30
0%
Takedown accuracy
33%
72%
Takedown defense
71%
0
Submission avg.
0.11

Trajectory

Jairzinho RozenstruikMarcin Tybura
170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (87%)
KO/TKO
10 (37%)
0 (0%)
Submission
7 (26%)
2 (13%)
Decision
10 (37%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcin Tybura54%
Jairzinho Rozenstruik 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcin Tybura a 54% favorite over Jairzinho Rozenstruik in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1704 vs 1707), separated by just 3 points.

Marcin Tybura enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jairzinho Rozenstruik finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Marcin Tybura 63%.

Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Marcin Tybura share 1 common opponent: Tai Tuivasa.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision - Split · 2024
Tai Tuivasa
WinSubmission · 2024