Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs Martin Buday
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-6-0Record16-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'5"
78"Reach77"
259 lbsWeight265 lbs
American Top TeamTeamSpartakus Fight Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1719
If they lose-16→ 1687
If they win+16→ 1716
If they lose-16→ 1684
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1726 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jairzinho RozenstruikMartin Buday
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Martin Buday62%
Jairzinho Rozenstruik 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Martin Buday a 62% favorite over Jairzinho Rozenstruik in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jairzinho Rozenstruik's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1703 vs 1700), separated by just 3 points.
Martin Buday enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jairzinho Rozenstruik finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Martin Buday 56%.
Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Martin Buday share 1 common opponent: Shamil Gaziev.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.