Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs Tai Tuivasa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-6-0Record14-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
78"Reach75"
259 lbsWeight265 lbs
American Top TeamTeamLions High Performance Centre
What's at stake
Jairzinho Rozenstruik is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Tai Tuivasa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1716
If they lose-20→ 1684
If they win+20→ 1631
If they lose-12→ 1599
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1727 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jairzinho RozenstruikTai Tuivasa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jairzinho Rozenstruik62%
Tai Tuivasa 38%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Jairzinho Rozenstruik a 62% favorite over Tai Tuivasa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Jairzinho Rozenstruik holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1704 to 1611, a 93-point edge.
Tai Tuivasa enters on a 7-fight loss streak.
Jairzinho Rozenstruik finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Tai Tuivasa 93%.
Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Tai Tuivasa share 4 common opponents: Sergei Pavlovich, Alexander Volkov, Augusto Sakai and Ciryl Gane.
Jairzinho Rozenstruik carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.