Jake Craig vs Karl Williams
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-1-0Record10-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
-Reach79"
205 lbsWeight247 lbs
Shaved Bears MMA· 1598 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team Atlanta
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1627
If they lose-24→ 1579
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1553 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1625 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jake CraigKarl Williams
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Karl Williams61%
Jake Craig 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Karl Williams a 61% favorite over Jake Craig in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1603 vs 1604), separated by just 1 points.
Karl Williams enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Jake Craig finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Karl Williams 30%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.