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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jake Craig vs Tedd Williams

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jake Craig
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Jake Craig

“Bronson”

5-1-0Light HeavyweightUMMA

1603Solid

Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record7-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight250 lbs
Shaved Bears MMA· 1598 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamWilliams Combat Grappling

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jake CraigNow 1603
If they win+24→ 1627
If they lose-24→ 1579
Tedd WilliamsNow 1605
If they win+24→ 1629
If they lose-24→ 1581

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1553 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Jake CraigTedd Williams
155016001650200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (60%)
KO/TKO
2 (29%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (43%)
2 (40%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Jake Craig68%
Tedd Williams 32%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jake Craig a 68% favorite over Tedd Williams in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tedd Williams's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1603 vs 1605), separated by just 2 points.

Jake Craig finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Tedd Williams 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.