Jake Craig vs Todd Duffee
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-1-0Record9-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
-Reach78"
205 lbsWeight241 lbs
Shaved Bears MMA· 1598 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1639 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1627
If they lose-24→ 1579
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1553 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1656 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jake CraigTodd Duffee
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Todd Duffee55%
Jake Craig 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Todd Duffee a 55% favorite over Jake Craig in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1603 vs 1605), separated by just 2 points.
Todd Duffee enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jake Craig finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Todd Duffee 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.