Jake Ellenberger vs John Howard
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
31-15-0Record29-19-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'7"
39,5"Reach40,0"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Reign MMATeamWai Kru MMA
What's at stake
Jake Ellenberger is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — John Howard carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1675
If they lose-14→ 1651
If they win+14→ 1622
If they lose-10→ 1598
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1690 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1602 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jake EllenbergerJohn Howard
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jake Ellenberger70%
John Howard 30%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Jake Ellenberger a 70% favorite over John Howard in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Jake Ellenberger holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1665 to 1608, a 57-point edge.
Jake Ellenberger enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
John Howard enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jake Ellenberger finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, John Howard 59%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.