Jake Ellenberger vs Sean Pierson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
31-15-0Record14-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'1"
39,5"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Reign MMATeamTap Star
What's at stake
Jake Ellenberger is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Sean Pierson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1676
If they lose-13→ 1652
If they win+18→ 1650
If they lose-14→ 1618
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1691 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1604 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jake EllenbergerSean Pierson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jake Ellenberger61%
Sean Pierson 39%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Jake Ellenberger a 61% favorite over Sean Pierson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Jake Ellenberger holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1665 to 1632, a 33-point edge.
Jake Ellenberger enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Sean Pierson enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Jake Ellenberger finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Sean Pierson 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.