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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jake Geauvreau vs Marco Polo Reyes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record16-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
613 Fight Factory· 1600 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamEntram Gym· 1678 avg Elo · 12 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jake GeauvreauNow 1576
If they win+24→ 1600
If they lose-24→ 1552
Marco Polo ReyesNow 1576
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1541 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
6
Not available
Strike accuracy
37%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.52
Not available
Strike defense
60%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
47%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jake GeauvreauMarco Polo Reyes
15501600202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
12 (75%)
3 (50%)
Submission
2 (13%)
1 (17%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Marco Polo Reyes56%
Jake Geauvreau 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marco Polo Reyes a 56% favorite over Jake Geauvreau in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jake Geauvreau's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1576 vs 1576), separated by just 0 points.

Jake Geauvreau enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Marco Polo Reyes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jake Geauvreau finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Marco Polo Reyes 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.