Jake Hadley vs Malcolm Gordon
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-6-0Record14-8-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
70"Reach71"
125 lbsWeight128 lbs
Team FearlessTeamAdrenaline Training Center
What's at stake
Jake Hadley is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Malcolm Gordon carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1654
If they lose-18→ 1622
If they win+18→ 1607
If they lose-14→ 1575
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1639 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1605 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jake HadleyMalcolm Gordon
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jake Hadley71%
Malcolm Gordon 29%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Jake Hadley a 71% favorite over Malcolm Gordon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Jake Hadley holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1640 to 1589, a 51-point edge.
Jake Hadley enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Malcolm Gordon enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jake Hadley finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Malcolm Gordon 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.