Jake Hadley vs Taylor Lapilus
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-6-0Record25-4-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
70"Reach73"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team FearlessTeamMMA Factory
What's at stake
Taylor Lapilus is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jake Hadley carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1661
If they lose-11→ 1629
If they win+11→ 1761
If they lose-21→ 1729
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1639 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1628 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jake HadleyTaylor Lapilus
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Taylor Lapilus75%
Jake Hadley 25%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Taylor Lapilus a 75% favorite over Jake Hadley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Taylor Lapilus holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1750 to 1640, a 110-point edge.
Jake Hadley enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Taylor Lapilus enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Jake Hadley finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Taylor Lapilus 44%.
Jake Hadley and Taylor Lapilus share 1 common opponent: Caolán Loughran.
Taylor Lapilus carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.