Jake Lindsey vs Joe Duffy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
15-10-0Record16-5-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
TBDReach73.00
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Combative Sports CenterTeamThe MMA Clinic
What's at stake
Joe Duffy is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Jake Lindsey carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1444
If they lose-10→ 1412
If they win+15→ 1578
If they lose-33→ 1530
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1604 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jake LindseyJoe Duffy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Duffy70%
Jake Lindsey 30%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Duffy a 70% favorite over Jake Lindsey in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Joe Duffy holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1563 to 1422, a 141-point edge.
Jake Lindsey enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Joe Duffy enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jake Lindsey finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Joe Duffy 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.