Jake Lindsey vs Joe Duffy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
15-10-0Record16-5-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
TBDReach73.00
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Combative Sports CenterTeamThe MMA Clinic
What's at stake
Joe Duffy is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Jake Lindsey carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1446
If they lose-9→ 1414
If they win+9→ 1586
If they lose-23→ 1554
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1627 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jake LindseyJoe Duffy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Duffy72%
Jake Lindsey 28%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Duffy a 72% favorite over Jake Lindsey in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Joe Duffy holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1577 to 1423, a 154-point edge.
Jake Lindsey enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Joe Duffy enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jake Lindsey finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Joe Duffy 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.