Jake Lindsey vs Jon Tuck
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-10-0Record11-5-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'11"
TBDReach73,0"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Combative Sports CenterTeamKings MMA
What's at stake
Jon Tuck is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Jake Lindsey carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+24→ 1446
If they lose-8→ 1414
If they win+8→ 1635
If they lose-24→ 1603
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1604 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1616 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jake LindseyJon Tuck
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jon Tuck78%
Jake Lindsey 22%Elo baseline: 77%
The Combat Edge model makes Jon Tuck a 78% favorite over Jake Lindsey in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (77%).
Jon Tuck holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1627 to 1422, a 205-point edge.
Jake Lindsey enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Jake Lindsey finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Jon Tuck 91%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.