Jake Lindsey vs Luan Duarte
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-10-0Record14-12-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Combative Sports CenterTeamTata Fight Team
What's at stake
Luan Duarte is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Jake Lindsey carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1440
If they lose-14→ 1408
If they win+14→ 1473
If they lose-18→ 1441
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1604 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jake LindseyLuan Duarte
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luan Duarte83%
Jake Lindsey 17%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Luan Duarte a 83% favorite over Jake Lindsey in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Luan Duarte holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1459 to 1422, a 37-point edge.
Jake Lindsey enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Luan Duarte enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jake Lindsey finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Luan Duarte 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.