Jake Lindsey vs Olivier Aubin-Mercier
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
15-10-0Record21-5-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
TBDReach70,5"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Combative Sports CenterTeamH2O MMA
What's at stake
Olivier Aubin-Mercier is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +3 while a loss costs more — Jake Lindsey carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+29→ 1451
If they lose-3→ 1419
If they win+3→ 1797
If they lose-21→ 1773
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1604 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jake LindseyOlivier Aubin-Mercier
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Olivier Aubin-Mercier87%
Jake Lindsey 13%Elo baseline: 89%
The Combat Edge model makes Olivier Aubin-Mercier a 87% favorite over Jake Lindsey in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (89%).
Olivier Aubin-Mercier holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1794 to 1422, a 372-point edge.
Jake Lindsey enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Olivier Aubin-Mercier enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Jake Lindsey finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Olivier Aubin-Mercier 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.