Jake Matthews vs Jingliang Li
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-8-0Record19-9-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
73"Reach71"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
NexusTeamChina Top Team
What's at stake
Jake Matthews is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Jingliang Li carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1763
If they lose-14→ 1739
If they win+14→ 1718
If they lose-10→ 1694
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1698 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1706 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jake MatthewsJingliang Li
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jake Matthews81%
Jingliang Li 19%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Jake Matthews a 81% favorite over Jingliang Li in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Jake Matthews holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1753 to 1704, a 49-point edge.
Jingliang Li enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jake Matthews finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Jingliang Li 74%.
Jake Matthews and Jingliang Li share 1 common opponent: Neil Magny.
Jake Matthews carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.