Jake Matthews vs Neil Magny
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Jake Matthews a 60% favorite over Neil Magny in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Neil Magny's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1753 vs 1758), separated by just 5 points.
Jake Matthews finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Neil Magny 45%.
Jake Matthews and Neil Magny share 2 common opponents: Phil Rowe and Michael Morales.
Neil Magny carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.