Combat Edge Intelligence

Jake Matthews vs Neil Magny

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jake Matthews
au

Jake Matthews

“The Celtic Kid”

23-8-0WelterweightUFC

1753 Great
Neil Magny
us

Neil Magny

“The Haitian Sensation”

31-14-0WelterweightUFC

1758 Great

Tale of the tape

23-8-0 Record 31-14-0
Welterweight Division Welterweight
5'11" Height 6'3"
73" Reach 80"
170 lbs Weight 170 lbs
Nexus Team Elevation Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jake MatthewsNow 1753
If they win+12→ 1765
If they lose-12→ 1741
Neil MagnyNow 1758
If they win+12→ 1770
If they lose-12→ 1746

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Tracked stat edges

3.34
Sig. strikes / min
3.40
44%
Strike accuracy
47%
2.62
Strikes absorbed / min Lower is better
2.44
60%
Strike defense
52%
1.44
Takedown avg.
2.17
42%
Takedown accuracy
25%
64%
Takedown defense
55%
0.75
Submission avg.
0.27

Trajectory

Jake Matthews Neil Magny
1750 2024 2025 2026

Win method breakdown

5 (22%)
KO/TKO
9 (29%)
9 (39%)
Submission
5 (16%)
9 (39%)
Decision
17 (55%)

Combat Edge model read

Jake Matthews60%
Neil Magny40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Jake Matthews a 60% favorite over Neil Magny in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Neil Magny's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1753 vs 1758), separated by just 5 points.

Jake Matthews finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Neil Magny 45%.

Jake Matthews and Neil Magny share 2 common opponents: Phil Rowe and Michael Morales.

Neil Magny carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

Loss Decision - Unanimous · 2023
Michael Morales
Loss TKO · 2024
Win Decision - Unanimous · 2024
Phil Rowe
Win Decision - Split · 2023