Jake Matthews vs Ramazan Emeev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-8-0Record22-6-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height5'10"
73"Reach76"
170 lbsWeight186 lbs
NexusTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1763
If they lose-12→ 1739
If they win+12→ 1769
If they lose-12→ 1745
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1699 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1678 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jake MatthewsRamazan Emeev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jake Matthews56%
Ramazan Emeev 44%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Jake Matthews a 56% favorite over Ramazan Emeev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ramazan Emeev's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1751 vs 1757), separated by just 6 points.
Ramazan Emeev enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Jake Matthews finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Ramazan Emeev 45%.
Ramazan Emeev carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.