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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jake Matthews vs Roberto Soldić

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jake Matthews
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Jake Matthews

“The Celtic Kid”

23-8-0WelterweightUFC

1751Great

Tale of the tape

23-8-0Record22-4-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height5'10"
73"Reach73.6"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
NexusTeamUFD Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jake MatthewsNow 1751
If they win+12→ 1763
If they lose-12→ 1739
Roberto SoldićNow 1752
If they win+16→ 1768
If they lose-16→ 1736

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1697 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.34
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
44%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
60%
Strike defense
Not available
1.44
Takedown avg.
Not available
42%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
64%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.75
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Jake MatthewsRoberto Soldić
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (22%)
KO/TKO
18 (82%)
9 (39%)
Submission
1 (5%)
9 (39%)
Decision
3 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Roberto Soldić59%
Jake Matthews 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Roberto Soldić a 59% favorite over Jake Matthews in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1751 vs 1752), separated by just 1 points.

Roberto Soldić enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jake Matthews finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Roberto Soldić 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.